Base rate BTC 1d ~52% up. Evidence is heavily bearish: >$2B ETF outflows, Strategy/Saylor selling for first time in 4 years, US-Iran risk-off, and BTC broke below $60k for first time since 2024, now 61.8k (6/10) holding a tight 60-63k range ahead of today's CPI. Hot CPI would extend pressure. Update strongly downward → down, though oversold-bounce risk keeps confidence moderate.