CRM, 1주 뒤 더 높을까?

Indicators as of 2026-08-27 close 252.05: price above all six moving averages (MA5 +16.52%, MA10 +21.39%, MA20 +26.04%, MA50 +40.91%, MA100 +40.98%, MA200 +26.32%), 10-day slopes MA5 +10.10%, MA10 +7.97%, MA20 +9.71%, MA50 +3.79%, MA100 +1.31% positive and MA200 -1.07% negative. RSI(14) 79.98, the highest in this week's candidate set. Returns 1w +22.69% / 1m +33.80% / 3m +43.44%; only 4.84% below the 52-week high and 67.90% above the 52-week low. 20d realized volatility 79.05%; volume ratio 5d/20d 1.42. 1w base rate up 0.5443, sample_size 983, basis individual; overlap-adjusted effective_n 196.6 and z_adj +1.24, which is below 2, so this base rate is not distinguishable from 0.5, is not used as directional evidence, and no base-rate-deviation label is claimed. The base-rate window is about 983 trading days (~3.9y); unlike the semiconductor names here its longer buckets are only mildly up-skewed (1y 0.5783, 6m 0.5149), so it is closer to unconditional. Macro regime tags recorded but not used as a direction input: smoothed US recession probability 0.60 versus 0.32 prior. Public news context: fiscal Q2 revenue reported at 11.35B USD versus about 11.32B USD expected (+11% y/y) with adjusted EPS reported at 5.90 USD versus about 3.27-3.28 USD consensus, where the gap was reported to include a 2.6B USD gain on strategic investments tied to an Anthropic stake, and the shares were reported up about 23% after the release. The submitted direction is down: the reported EPS beat is largely a non-operating investment gain while reported revenue was in line, and the price is 26.04% above its 20-day average with RSI(14) near 80 after a 22.69% one-week move. Counter-evidence considered and not dismissed: the full moving-average ladder is positive, five of six 10-day slopes are positive, volume expanded (1.42), and post-earnings drift after a large reported beat can persist for a week; confidence is therefore set close to 0.5. Not investment advice.