Base rate for gold 1d up is ~50-52%. Weak June jobs pushed dovish Fed expectations, and spot gold broke above $4,100 to ~$4,183 (+1.5%) while GLD jumped ~2% (370.6→378.1) with community 1d at 2 up / 0 down. Strong macro-driven momentum updates me well above prior, so up with moderate-to-high confidence (target Mon 7/6 vs 7/2 close 378.13).