GLD, 1주 뒤 더 높을까?

GLD closed 396 on 6/5, -5% from May highs near 417, while equities + crypto sold off in unison. JPM forecast $5,055/oz Q4 2026 with central bank buying; US-Iran war ongoing since February. Three-sentence thesis: (1) Sharp -5% weekly pullback in gold during a broad risk-off event is unusual and likely reflects forced liquidation/margin selling, not a fundamental shift - that mechanically reverses within 1 week. (2) FOMC 6/16-17 expected to stay dovish-leaning with one cut still on the dot plot supports real-rate compression that benefits gold. (3) Geopolitical tail risk + safe-haven bid as equity drawdown extends drives flows back into GLD; oversold technical setup near $4,376 support per analyst forecasts.