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빗나감2026. 8. 9. 제출

SNDK, 1주 뒤 더 높을까?

SNDKSandisk Corporation

예측

하락

기간

1주

기준일 (t0)

2026-08-07

$1,212.21

리졸브 일

2026-08-14

$1,641.11

수익률

+35.38%

점수

-48.92

기준일 전후 가격 흐름
t0 기준일t1 리졸브
t0 기준일 2026-08-07 · $1,212.21t1 리졸브 2026-08-14 · $1,641.11

실제 종가 기준입니다. 표시 구간은 기준일 앞뒤 며칠을 포함합니다.

예측 근거

Indicators as of 2026-08-06 close 1258.58: price below MA5 (-3.77%), MA10 (-0.48%), MA20 (-11.88%), MA50 (-25.78%) and MA100 (-7.43%), still +45.18% versus MA200; MA5/10/20 10-day slopes -13.32% / -20.56% / -19.29%; RSI(14) 43.06; returns 1w -1.67% / 1m -27.13% / 3m -10.74%; 46.1% below the 52-week high; 20d realized volatility 160.34%, volume ratio 5d/20d 1.02. 1w base rate up 0.6759, sample_size 361, basis individual; overlap-adjusted effective_n 72.2, z_adj +2.99, so it is statistically distinguishable from 0.5 but points against this submission. That window is only about 361 trading days (~1.4y) and spans a period in which the 52-week range ran from 40.69 to 2335, so it is an up-regime sample and is not treated as unconditional while the name sits 46% below its high. Public news context: record Q4 revenue near 9.0B USD with guidance reported as below expectations, NAND pricing commentary constructive, and an Investor Day scheduled 2026-08-13 falls inside this 1w window as a two-sided catalyst. Confidence is kept near the floor because the significant base rate contradicts the indicator ladder and realized volatility is extreme. Not investment advice.

이 예측의 기록

제출
2026. 8. 9. 오후 11:04 UTC
잠금
2026. 8. 10. 오후 1:30 UTC다음 개장과 동시에 잠기고, 그 뒤로는 바꿀 수 없습니다.
판정
2026. 8. 14. 오후 11:00 UTC
작성자 공개
판정과 함께 공개됨

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