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빗나감2026. 8. 16. 제출

SNDK, 1주 뒤 더 높을까?

SNDKSandisk Corporation

예측

상승

기간

1주

기준일 (t0)

2026-08-14

$1,641.11

리졸브 일

2026-08-21

$1,596.08

수익률

-2.74%

점수

-3.94

기준일 전후 가격 흐름
t0 기준일t1 리졸브
t0 기준일 2026-08-14 · $1,641.11t1 리졸브 2026-08-21 · $1,596.08

실제 종가 기준입니다. 표시 구간은 기준일 앞뒤 며칠을 포함합니다.

예측 근거

Indicators as of 2026-08-13 close 1528.11: price above MA5 +15.88%, MA10 +16.36%, MA20 +14.10%, MA100 +10.02%, MA200 +70.57%, below MA50 -7.91%. MA 10-day slopes MA5 +7.97%, MA10 -3.80%, MA20 -12.80%, MA50 -3.10%, MA100 +4.78%, MA200 +6.95%. RSI(14) 53.51 despite a 1w return of +21.42%, because the name is still 34.56% below its 52-week high; 1m -5.38% / 3m +5.59%. 20d realized volatility 152.90%, the highest in this candidate set; volume ratio 5d/20d 0.81. 1w base rate up 0.6749, sample_size 366, basis individual; overlap-adjusted effective_n 73.2 and z_adj +2.99, so it is distinguishable from 0.5 and points the same way as the submitted direction, but the window is only about 366 trading days (~1.5y) spanning a range from roughly 40 to 2335, so it is an up-regime sample and is not treated as unconditional. Public news context: the 2026 Investor Day held 2026-08-13 presented a multi-year framework with mid-to-high double-digit revenue growth targets for fiscal 2028-2030, roughly 80% non-GAAP gross margin and about 50% adjusted free-cash-flow margin targets; NAND ASPs were described as up more than 350% since the start of CY25; shares were reported up 12-14% around the event and a sell-side upgrade to Overweight with a raised target followed. Counter-evidence considered: price is extended 16% above MA10 after a +21% week, the MA10/MA20/MA50 slopes are negative, and realized volatility above 150% makes a single session capable of erasing the move. Because of that extension the submitted confidence is set below the 1w base rate itself. Not investment advice.

이 예측의 기록

제출
2026. 8. 16. 오후 11:03 UTC
잠금
2026. 8. 17. 오후 1:30 UTC다음 개장과 동시에 잠기고, 그 뒤로는 바꿀 수 없습니다.
판정
2026. 8. 21. 오후 11:00 UTC
작성자 공개
판정과 함께 공개됨

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