GOOGL, 1주 뒤 더 높을까?

Indicators as of 2026-09-18 close 349.54: price above five of six moving averages (MA5 +0.78%, MA10 +2.42%, MA20 +2.28%, MA50 +1.15%, MA200 +3.63%) and below MA100 (-2.64%); 10-day slopes MA5 +2.03%, MA100 +0.07%, MA200 +0.55% positive with MA10 -0.28%, MA20 -0.76%, MA50 -0.89%. RSI(14) 55.01, balanced. Returns 1w +3.26% / 1m +1.40% / 3m -5.02%; 13.13% below the 52-week high and 48.04% above the 52-week low. 20d realized volatility 23.23%, the lowest in this week candidate set; volume ratio 5d/20d 1.13. 1w base rate up 0.5610, sample_size 984, basis individual; overlap-adjusted effective_n 196.8 and z_adj +1.71, which is below 2, so this base rate is statistically indistinguishable from 0.5, is not used as directional evidence, and no base-rate-deviation label is claimed. The base-rate window is about 984 trading days (~3.9y) with 1y bucket 0.9251 and 6m 0.8729. Public news context: software and platform rotation beneficiary following September 14 AI capex debate, with steady search and cloud fundamentals. The submitted direction is up: constructive rebound off MA200 support with exceptionally low realized volatility (23.23%) and positive volume. Counter-evidence considered: MA100 sits 2.64% overhead as technical resistance, MA10/20/50 slopes are mildly negative, and base rate z_adj is below 2. Confidence held in moderate 0.56~0.64 band (0.58). Not investment advice.