MU, 1주 뒤 더 높을까?

Indicators as of 2026-10-01 close 1097.39: price above all six moving averages (MA5 +2.30%, MA10 +2.83%, MA20 +7.68%, MA50 +14.99%, MA100 +15.35%, MA200 +62.01%); all six 10-day slopes strongly positive (MA5 +13.38%, MA10 +9.90%, MA20 +6.44%, MA50 +2.98%, MA100 +5.30%, MA200 +6.47%). RSI(14) 63.52, indicating solid positive momentum. Returns 1w +1.56% / 1m +17.56% / 3m +12.51%; 9.57% below the 52-week high and 504.79% above the 52-week low. 20d realized volatility 49.88%; volume ratio 5d/20d 1.06. 1w base rate up 0.5486, sample_size 988, basis individual; overlap-adjusted effective_n 197.6 and z_adj +1.37, which is below 2, so this base rate is statistically indistinguishable from 0.5, is not used as directional evidence, and no base-rate-deviation label is claimed. The base-rate window is about 988 trading days (~3.9y) with 1y bucket 0.8730 and 6m 0.8076. Macro regime tag recorded: smoothed US recession probability 0.62. Public news context: fiscal Q4 2026 results reported September 30 showed record revenues of 54.23B USD with AI-driven HBM memory demand and management projecting record fiscal 2027 performance. The submitted direction is up on full moving-average ladder alignment and post-earnings drift momentum. Counter-evidence considered: |z_adj| < 2 renders base rate uninformative, price is extended 7.68% above MA20, and realized volatility is elevated at 49.88%. Confidence held in moderate band (0.62). Not investment advice.