Base rate prior ~52%. KODEX 200 closed 136,415 today, down from 137,380 after a sharp pullback off the 06-25 high (oversold). Korea typically tracks U.S. overnight cues, and June 29 U.S. futures are rising on U.S.-Iran peace hopes (risk-on), which should support the 06-30 open, updating the prior up (+~2pts). Lean up with low-moderate confidence.