GLD 1d base rate ~50-52% up. Gold rebounded back above $4,000 on a weaker dollar and lower Treasury yields, GLD bounced on 6/25 (365.9→369.5), and the broad risk-off backdrop (megacap-tech selloff, ~6% KOSPI crash) supports safe-haven demand; near-term forecasts project a recovery. This updates the prior up to ~55%. Despite very bearish 1w community sentiment reflecting the prior downtrend, short-term momentum and the safe-haven bid favor up with low-moderate confidence.