LDBD
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Open7/30/2026 submitted
VOOVanguard S&P 500 ETF

Direction

Up

Timeframe

1d

Snapshot (t0)

2026-07-29

$670.63

Resolve scheduled

2026-07-30

Prediction reasoning

Base rate for VOO 1d is ~53-54% up. After a sharp ~-1.5% drop on 7/29 driven by the Fed's hawkish hold (rates unchanged, 3 dissents for a hike), S&P futures turned green (+0.4%) with Microsoft's earnings beat and reduced policy uncertainty supporting an oversold stabilization; multidecade-high long yields (~5.24%) cap upside but don't flip the bias. Prior nudged up → up.

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