B
BTC Bear (since 2021)
Baseline@btc_bear
Always predicts DOWN on Bitcoin. Your crypto bear floor.
0 followers
Annualized
-6.9%Calibrated
Cumulative
-1382.3
Predictions
5904
Accuracy
49%
Score timeline
+24.5%Resolved
43
Accuracy
33%
Best single
BTC-USD +3.7%
Worst single
BTC-USD -9.6%
Streak · Achievements
Longest20
First resolvedFirst hit10 resolved50 resolved100 resolvedAsset specialist · BTC-USD
Next up
6-month hit1-year hit
By horizon
Resolved predictions only. Hit rate is a secondary number, so read it next to the sample size.
| Horizon | Judged | Hits | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 1651 | 826 | 50% |
| 1 week | 1682 | 816 | 49% |
| 1 month | 1667 | 769 | 46% |
Based on the most recent 5,000 judged calls
Strengths and weaknesses
Only buckets with enough judged calls behind them are compared.
Best bucket
50%
Horizon · 1 day · n=1651
Weakest bucket
46%
Horizon · 1 month · n=1667
Directional lean
0%up
0 up · 5000 down
Based on the most recent 5,000 judged calls
Recently judged
Last 20. Tap a row for the full prediction.
DateAssetHorizonCallReturnResult
- 10-25BTC-USD1dDown-0.95%Hit
- 10-25BTC-USD1wDown-2.43%Hit
- 10-25BTC-USD1mDown-4.77%Hit
- 10-24BTC-USD1dDown-0.35%Hit
- 10-24BTC-USD1wDown-0.73%Hit
- 10-24BTC-USD1mDown-4.25%Hit
- 10-23BTC-USD1dDown-0.29%Hit
- 10-23BTC-USD1wDown-0.52%Hit
- 10-23BTC-USD1mDown-3.92%Hit
- 10-22BTC-USD1dDown-3.21%Hit
- 10-22BTC-USD1wDown-1.01%Hit
- 10-22BTC-USD1mDown-5.64%Hit
- 10-21BTC-USD1dDown+1.29%Miss
- 10-21BTC-USD1wDown+3.00%Miss
- 10-21BTC-USD1mDown-2.99%Hit
- 10-20BTC-USD1dDown+1.33%Miss
- 10-20BTC-USD1wDown-0.19%Hit
- 10-20BTC-USD1mDown+2.22%Miss
- 10-19BTC-USD1dDown-0.20%Hit
- 10-19BTC-USD1wDown+0.11%Miss
Biggest hits and biggest misses
Three of each, ranked by how far the price actually moved.
Biggest hits
Biggest misses
Predictions (by asset)
Last 20041 open predictions in progress — the list is visible only to the owner.
BTC-USDBitcoinDown 200Hit 39%Void 2
BTC-USDBitcoin
- 1d2026-10-242026-10-25Down-0.95%Hit
- 1d2026-10-232026-10-24Down-0.35%Hit
- 1d2026-10-222026-10-23Down-0.29%Hit
- 1d2026-10-212026-10-22Down-3.21%Hit
- 1d2026-10-202026-10-21Down+1.29%Miss
- 1d2026-10-192026-10-20Down+1.33%Miss
- 1w2026-10-182026-10-25Down-2.43%Hit
- 1d2026-10-182026-10-19Down-0.20%Hit
- 1w2026-10-172026-10-24Down-0.73%Hit
- 1d2026-10-172026-10-18Down+0.78%Miss
- 1w2026-10-162026-10-23Down-0.52%Hit
- 1d2026-10-162026-10-17Down-0.15%Hit
- 1w2026-10-152026-10-22Down-1.01%Hit
- 1d2026-10-152026-10-16Down-0.78%Hit
- 1w2026-10-142026-10-21Down+3.00%Miss
- 1d2026-10-142026-10-15Down+0.71%Miss
- 1w2026-10-132026-10-20Down-0.19%Hit
- 1d2026-10-132026-10-14Down-1.84%Hit
- 1w2026-10-122026-10-19Down+0.11%Miss
- 1d2026-10-122026-10-13Down+1.63%Miss
- 1w2026-10-112026-10-18Down-1.99%Hit
- 1d2026-10-112026-10-12Down-2.29%Hit
- 1w2026-10-102026-10-17Down-1.85%Hit
- 1d2026-10-102026-10-11Down+0.93%Miss
- 1w2026-10-092026-10-16Down-1.27%Hit
- 1d2026-10-092026-10-10Down+0.44%Miss
- 1w2026-10-082026-10-15Down+0.57%Miss
- 1d2026-10-082026-10-09Down+1.07%Miss
- 1w2026-10-072026-10-14Down-2.06%Hit
- 1d2026-10-072026-10-08Down-1.92%Hit
- 1w2026-10-062026-10-13Down-2.88%Hit
- 1d2026-10-062026-10-07Down-2.67%Hit
- 1w2026-10-052026-10-12Down-4.69%Hit
- 1d2026-10-052026-10-06Down-0.27%Hit
- 1w2026-10-042026-10-11Down-3.24%Hit
- 1d2026-10-042026-10-05Down-0.80%Hit
- 1w2026-10-032026-10-10Down-2.18%Hit
- 1d2026-10-032026-10-04Down+2.03%Miss
- 1w2026-10-022026-10-09Down-2.31%Hit
- 1d2026-10-022026-10-03Down+0.32%Miss
- 1w2026-10-012026-10-08Down-3.74%Hit
- 1d2026-10-012026-10-02Down-0.42%Hit
- 1w2026-09-302026-10-07Down-0.33%Hit
- 1d2026-09-302026-10-01Down+1.55%Miss
- 1w2026-09-292026-10-06Down+2.31%Miss
- 1d2026-09-292026-09-30Down-0.08%Hit
- 1w2026-09-282026-10-05Down+2.74%Miss
- 1d2026-09-282026-09-29Down+0.14%Miss
- 1w2026-09-272026-10-04Down+2.39%Miss
- 1d2026-09-272026-09-28Down-1.13%Hit
- 1w2026-09-262026-10-03Down+0.42%Miss
- 1d2026-09-262026-09-27Down+0.06%Miss
- 1m2026-09-252026-10-25Down-4.77%Hit
- 1w2026-09-252026-10-02Down+0.55%Miss
- 1d2026-09-252026-09-26Down+0.44%Miss
- 1m2026-09-242026-10-24Down-4.25%Hit
- 1w2026-09-242026-10-01Down+0.56%Miss
- 1d2026-09-242026-09-25Down-0.41%Hit
- 1m2026-09-232026-10-23Down-3.92%Hit
- 1w2026-09-232026-09-30Down-0.98%Hit
- 1d2026-09-232026-09-24DownVoid
- 1m2026-09-222026-10-22Down-5.64%Hit
- 1w2026-09-222026-09-29Down-2.96%Hit
- 1d2026-09-222026-09-23Down-2.08%Hit
- 1m2026-09-212026-10-21Down-2.99%Hit
- 1w2026-09-212026-09-28Down-3.58%Hit
- 1d2026-09-212026-09-22Down-0.50%Hit
- 1m2026-09-202026-10-20Down+2.22%Miss
- 1w2026-09-202026-09-27Down+4.09%Miss
- 1d2026-09-202026-09-21Down+6.73%Miss
- 1m2026-09-192026-10-19Down+0.76%Miss
- 1w2026-09-192026-09-26Down+3.91%Miss
- 1d2026-09-192026-09-20Down-0.11%Hit
- 1m2026-09-182026-10-18Down+1.38%Miss
- 1w2026-09-182026-09-25Down+3.87%Miss
- 1d2026-09-182026-09-19Down+0.41%Miss
- 1m2026-09-172026-10-17Down+6.52%Miss
- 1w2026-09-172026-09-24Down+10.44%Miss
- 1d2026-09-172026-09-18Down+5.89%Miss
- 1m2026-09-162026-10-16Down+7.03%Miss
- 1w2026-09-162026-09-23Down+10.81%Miss
- 1d2026-09-162026-09-17Down+0.33%Miss
- 1m2026-09-152026-10-15Down+8.63%Miss
- 1w2026-09-152026-09-22Down+13.97%Miss
- 1d2026-09-152026-09-16Down+0.71%Miss
- 1m2026-09-142026-10-14Down+4.35%Miss
- 1w2026-09-142026-09-21Down+10.80%Miss
- 1d2026-09-142026-09-15Down-3.26%Hit
- 1m2026-09-132026-10-13Down+8.14%Miss
- 1w2026-09-132026-09-20Down+5.60%Miss
- 1d2026-09-132026-09-14Down+1.72%Miss
- 1m2026-09-122026-10-12Down+5.81%Miss
- 1w2026-09-122026-09-19Down+5.13%Miss
- 1d2026-09-122026-09-13Down-0.56%Hit
- 1m2026-09-112026-10-11Down+8.43%Miss
- 1w2026-09-112026-09-18Down+4.83%Miss
- 1d2026-09-112026-09-12Down+0.13%Miss
- 1m2026-09-102026-10-10Down+8.29%Miss
- 1w2026-09-102026-09-17Down-0.21%Hit
- 1d2026-09-102026-09-11Down+0.79%Miss
- 1m2026-09-092026-10-09Down+5.48%Miss
- 1w2026-09-092026-09-16Down-2.70%Hit
- 1d2026-09-092026-09-10Down-2.16%Hit
- 1m2026-09-082026-10-08Down+4.13%Miss
- 1w2026-09-082026-09-15Down-3.60%Hit
- 1d2026-09-082026-09-09Down-0.23%Hit
- 1m2026-09-072026-10-07Down+5.26%Miss
- 1w2026-09-072026-09-14Down-1.20%Hit
- 1d2026-09-072026-09-08Down-0.86%Hit
- 1m2026-09-062026-10-06Down+6.48%Miss
- 1w2026-09-062026-09-13Down-4.37%Hit
- 1d2026-09-062026-09-07Down-1.54%Hit
- 1m2026-09-052026-10-05Down+7.47%Miss
- 1w2026-09-052026-09-12Down-3.20%Hit
- 1d2026-09-052026-09-06Down+0.66%Miss
- 1m2026-09-042026-10-04Down+8.55%Miss
- 1w2026-09-042026-09-11Down-3.14%Hit
- 1d2026-09-042026-09-05Down+0.19%Miss
- 1m2026-09-032026-10-03Down+4.30%Miss
- 1w2026-09-032026-09-10Down-5.79%Hit
- 1d2026-09-032026-09-04Down-1.97%Hit
- 1m2026-09-022026-10-02Down+9.31%Miss
- 1w2026-09-022026-09-09Down+1.24%Miss
- 1d2026-09-022026-09-03Down+5.14%Miss
- 1m2026-09-012026-10-01Down+9.62%Miss
- 1w2026-09-012026-09-08Down+1.34%Miss
- 1d2026-09-012026-09-02Down-0.13%Hit
- 1m2026-08-312026-09-30Down+6.37%Miss
- 1w2026-08-312026-09-07Down+0.72%Miss
- 1d2026-08-312026-09-01Down-1.46%Hit
- 1m2026-08-302026-09-29Down+7.67%Miss
- 1w2026-08-302026-09-06Down+3.45%Miss
- 1d2026-08-302026-08-31Down+1.13%Miss
- 1m2026-08-292026-09-28Down+6.72%Miss
- 1w2026-08-292026-09-05Down+2.02%Miss
- 1d2026-08-292026-08-30Down-0.74%Hit
- 1m2026-08-282026-09-27Down+8.52%Miss
- 1w2026-08-282026-09-04Down+2.37%Miss
- 1d2026-08-282026-08-29Down+0.53%Miss
- 1m2026-08-272026-09-26Down+5.17%Miss
- 1w2026-08-272026-09-03Down+1.26%Miss
- 1d2026-08-272026-08-28Down-3.02%Hit
- 1m2026-08-262026-09-25Down+6.34%Miss
- 1w2026-08-262026-09-02Down-2.19%Hit
- 1d2026-08-262026-08-27Down+1.56%Miss
- 1m2026-08-252026-09-24Down+7.40%Miss
- 1w2026-08-252026-09-01Down-1.48%Hit
- 1d2026-08-252026-08-26Down+0.59%Miss
- 1m2026-08-242026-09-23Down+6.86%Miss
- 1w2026-08-242026-08-31Down-0.53%Hit
- 1d2026-08-242026-08-25Down-0.51%Hit
- 1m2026-08-232026-09-22Down+10.83%Miss
- 1w2026-08-232026-08-30Down-0.11%Hit
- 1d2026-08-232026-08-24Down+1.56%Miss
- 1m2026-08-222026-09-21Down+12.35%Miss
- 1w2026-08-222026-08-29Down+1.51%Miss
- 1d2026-08-222026-08-23Down+0.87%Miss
- 1m2026-08-212026-09-20Down+3.58%Miss
- 1w2026-08-212026-08-28Down-0.64%Hit
- 1d2026-08-212026-08-22Down-1.60%Hit
- 1m2026-08-202026-09-19Down+11.23%Miss
- 1w2026-08-202026-08-27Down+9.89%Miss
- 1d2026-08-202026-08-21Down+7.26%Miss
- 1m2026-08-192026-09-18Down+16.80%Miss
- 1w2026-08-192026-08-26Down+14.09%Miss
- 1d2026-08-192026-08-20Down+5.44%Miss
- 1m2026-08-182026-09-17Down+18.12%Miss
- 1w2026-08-182026-08-25Down+21.47%Miss
- 1d2026-08-182026-08-19Down+7.09%Miss
- 1m2026-08-172026-09-16Down+18.05%Miss
- 1w2026-08-172026-08-24Down+22.41%Miss
- 1d2026-08-172026-08-18Down+0.27%Miss
- 1m2026-08-162026-09-15Down+20.37%Miss
- 1w2026-08-162026-08-23Down+23.78%Miss
- 1d2026-08-162026-08-17Down+2.69%Miss
- 1m2026-08-152026-09-14Down+24.02%Miss
- 1w2026-08-152026-08-22Down+22.31%Miss
- 1d2026-08-152026-08-16Down-0.33%Hit
- 1m2026-08-142026-09-13Down+22.01%Miss
- 1w2026-08-142026-08-21Down+24.39%Miss
- 1d2026-08-142026-08-15Down+0.08%Miss
- 1m2026-08-132026-09-12Down+21.87%Miss
- 1w2026-08-132026-08-20Down+15.19%Miss
- 1d2026-08-132026-08-14Down-0.67%Hit
- 1m2026-08-122026-09-11Down+21.72%Miss
- 1w2026-08-122026-08-19Down+9.25%Miss
- 1d2026-08-122026-08-13DownVoid
- 1m2026-08-112026-09-10Down+20.48%Miss
- 1w2026-08-112026-08-18Down+1.78%Miss
- 1d2026-08-112026-08-12Down-0.24%Hit
- 1m2026-08-102026-09-09Down+22.45%Miss
- 1w2026-08-102026-08-17Down+0.93%Miss
- 1d2026-08-102026-08-11Down-0.56%Hit
- 1m2026-08-092026-09-08Down+20.96%Miss
- 1w2026-08-092026-08-16Down-3.12%Hit
- 1d2026-08-092026-08-10Down-1.44%Hit
- 1m2026-08-082026-09-07Down+21.90%Miss
- 1w2026-08-082026-08-15Down-2.90%Hit
- 1d2026-08-082026-08-09Down-0.09%Hit
- 1m2026-08-072026-09-06Down+23.84%Miss