Macro Dashboard
Live Macro Indicators
The macro backdrop the market watches: US Treasury yields and the curve, credit spreads, financial-stress indices, VIX, breakeven inflation, the dollar and won, plus crypto. Numbers and recent trend only, sourced from FRED and CoinGecko.
As of: 2026-09-25
Slow macro context: A spread, stress index, recession probability, or derived premium. Slow-moving context, not a short-term price-direction call.
Live level: An actual price or level: a yield, an FX rate, an index level.
Rates & Yields
US 10-Year Treasury YieldLive level
5.11▲ +0.15
Prev: 4.96As of: 2026-09-23Source: FRED
US 3-Month Treasury YieldLive level
4.19▲ +0.03
Prev: 4.16As of: 2026-09-23Source: FRED
Effective Federal Funds RateLive level
3.63■ 0
Prev: 3.63As of: 2026-08-01Source: FRED
Credit Spreads
US High-Yield Option-Adjusted SpreadSlow macro context
2.73▲ +0.05
Prev: 2.68As of: 2026-09-23Source: FRED
US Investment-Grade Corporate SpreadSlow macro context
0.77■ 0
Prev: 0.77As of: 2026-09-23Source: FRED
Financial Stress & Macro
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions IndexSlow macro context
-0.56▲ +0
Prev: -0.56As of: 2026-09-18Source: FRED
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress IndexSlow macro context
-0.91▼ -0.06
Prev: -0.85As of: 2026-09-18Source: FRED
Initial Jobless ClaimsSlow macro context
197,000▼ -1,000
Prev: 198,000As of: 2026-09-19Source: FRED
Smoothed US Recession ProbabilitySlow macro context
0.76▲ +0.2
Prev: 0.56As of: 2026-07-01Source: FRED
Commodities
WTI Crude Oil Price (USD/barrel)Live level
96.41▼ -0.56
Prev: 96.97As of: 2026-09-22Source: FRED
Foreign Exchange
Nominal Broad US Dollar IndexLive level
119.51▲ +0.16
Prev: 119.35As of: 2026-09-18Source: FRED
South Korean Won to USD Exchange RateLive level
1,387.97▲ +7.51
Prev: 1,380.46As of: 2026-09-18Source: FRED
Inflation
10-Year Breakeven Inflation RateSlow macro context
2.33▼ -0.02
Prev: 2.35As of: 2026-09-24Source: FRED
US CPI (All Urban Consumers, Index)Live level
334.13▲ +1.32
Prev: 332.81As of: 2026-08-01Source: FRED
Crypto
Korea BTC Kimchi Premium (%)Slow macro context
-1.98
As of: 2026-09-25Source: derived (Upbit KRW-BTC / (LDBD BTC-USD price x FRED DEXKOUS))