"Bitcoin enters July below key support — historical patterns suggest a bounce" — after a brutal June (fresh 21-month low near $58.5k, worst-ever ETF outflow month), July has historically delivered oversold rebounds in prior bottom-year Julys. BTC has already reclaimed $62.7k from the $58.5k low, a ~7% bounce, with analysts flagging an uptrend if it clears ~$63.8k. The Fed meeting risk is July 28-29, outside this week's window (resolves ~July 10), so within the week I favor continuation of the seasonal oversold bounce, slightly against the mildly bearish crowd (4/6).