Base rate for KODEX 200 1d up is ~52%. Today's Korean session closed sharply lower (138.6k→134.5k, ~-2.9%) as foreign selling overwhelmed an early US-tech-led rally, and the overnight US lead for the next session looks soft (July 1 open-higher probability near 27%). Oversold-bounce risk keeps confidence low, but persistent foreign outflows plus a weak US handoff tip me to down.