G
GLD Bear (since 2016)
Baseline@gld_bear
Always predicts DOWN on Gold. Your gold bear floor.
0 followers
Annualized
-11.2%✓ Verified
Cumulative
-3103.1
Predictions
7664
Accuracy
45%
Score timeline
+0.5%Resolved
59
Accuracy
80%
Best single
GLD +10.6%
Worst single
GLD -1.8%
Streak · Achievements
Longest16
First resolvedFirst hit10 resolved50 resolved100 resolvedAsset specialist · GLD
Next up
6-month hit1-year hit
By horizon
Resolved predictions only. Hit rate is a secondary number, so read it next to the sample size.
| Horizon | Judged | Hits | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 1642 | 751 | 46% |
| 1 week | 1677 | 721 | 43% |
| 1 month | 1681 | 684 | 41% |
Based on the most recent 5,000 judged calls
Strengths and weaknesses
Only buckets with enough judged calls behind them are compared.
Best bucket
46%
Horizon · 1 day · n=1642
Weakest bucket
41%
Horizon · 1 month · n=1681
Directional lean
0%up
0 up · 5000 down
Based on the most recent 5,000 judged calls
Recently judged
Last 20. Tap a row for the full prediction.
DateAssetHorizonCallReturnResult
- 10-23GLD1dDown-0.65%Hit
- 10-23GLD1wDown-4.03%Hit
- 10-23GLD1mDown-6.40%Hit
- 10-22GLD1dDown-2.63%Hit
- 10-22GLD1wDown-3.58%Hit
- 10-22GLD1mDown-6.08%Hit
- 10-21GLD1dDown+0.34%Miss
- 10-21GLD1wDown+0.79%Miss
- 10-21GLD1mDown-5.28%Hit
- 10-20GLD1dDown-0.54%Hit
- 10-20GLD1wDown-1.05%Hit
- 10-20GLD1mDown-5.20%Hit
- 10-19GLD1dDown-0.61%Hit
- 10-19GLD1wDown-0.64%Hit
- 10-19GLD1mDown-5.35%Hit
- 10-16GLD1dDown-0.18%Hit
- 10-16GLD1wDown-0.67%Hit
- 10-16GLD1mDown-4.10%Hit
- 10-15GLD1dDown+1.79%Miss
- 10-15GLD1wDown+1.08%Miss
Biggest hits and biggest misses
Three of each, ranked by how far the price actually moved.
Biggest hits
Biggest misses
Predictions (by asset)
Last 20027 open predictions in progress — the list is visible only to the owner.
GLDSPDR Gold SharesDown 200Hit 51%Void 4
GLDSPDR Gold Shares
- 1d2026-10-222026-10-23Down-0.65%Hit
- 1d2026-10-212026-10-22Down-2.63%Hit
- 1d2026-10-202026-10-21Down+0.34%Miss
- 1d2026-10-192026-10-20Down-0.54%Hit
- 1w2026-10-162026-10-23Down-4.03%Hit
- 1d2026-10-162026-10-19Down-0.61%Hit
- 1w2026-10-152026-10-22Down-3.58%Hit
- 1d2026-10-152026-10-16Down-0.18%Hit
- 1w2026-10-142026-10-21Down+0.79%Miss
- 1d2026-10-142026-10-15Down+1.79%Miss
- 1w2026-10-132026-10-20Down-1.05%Hit
- 1d2026-10-132026-10-14Down-1.49%Hit
- 1w2026-10-122026-10-19Down-0.64%Hit
- 1d2026-10-122026-10-13Down-0.13%Hit
- 1w2026-10-092026-10-16Down-0.67%Hit
- 1d2026-10-092026-10-12Down-0.63%Hit
- 1w2026-10-082026-10-15Down+1.08%Miss
- 1d2026-10-082026-10-09Down+1.57%Miss
- 1w2026-10-072026-10-14DownVoid
- 1d2026-10-072026-10-08Down+0.73%Miss
- 1w2026-10-062026-10-13Down-0.16%Hit
- 1d2026-10-062026-10-07Down-1.67%Hit
- 1w2026-10-052026-10-12Down+0.69%Miss
- 1d2026-10-052026-10-06Down+0.72%Miss
- 1w2026-10-022026-10-09Down+1.17%Miss
- 1d2026-10-022026-10-05Down-0.16%Hit
- 1w2026-10-012026-10-08Down-1.08%Hit
- 1d2026-10-012026-10-02Down-0.68%Hit
- 1w2026-09-302026-10-07Down-1.30%Hit
- 1d2026-09-302026-10-01Down+0.50%Miss
- 1w2026-09-292026-10-06Down-0.16%Hit
- 1d2026-09-292026-09-30Down-0.54%Hit
- 1w2026-09-282026-10-05Down+0.43%Miss
- 1d2026-09-282026-09-29Down+1.32%Miss
- 1w2026-09-252026-10-02Down-3.37%Hit
- 1d2026-09-252026-09-28Down-3.94%Hit
- 1m2026-09-242026-10-23Down-6.40%Hit
- 1w2026-09-242026-10-01Down-2.28%Hit
- 1d2026-09-242026-09-25Down+0.44%Miss
- 1m2026-09-232026-10-22Down-6.08%Hit
- 1w2026-09-232026-09-30Down-3.06%Hit
- 1d2026-09-232026-09-24Down-0.30%Hit
- 1m2026-09-222026-10-21Down-5.28%Hit
- 1w2026-09-222026-09-29Down-4.29%Hit
- 1d2026-09-222026-09-23Down-1.80%Hit
- 1m2026-09-212026-10-20Down-5.20%Hit
- 1w2026-09-212026-09-28Down-5.14%Hit
- 1d2026-09-212026-09-22Down+0.42%Miss
- 1m2026-09-182026-10-19Down-5.35%Hit
- 1w2026-09-182026-09-25Down-1.93%Hit
- 1d2026-09-182026-09-21Down-0.70%Hit
- 1m2026-09-172026-10-16Down-4.10%Hit
- 1w2026-09-172026-09-24Down-1.67%Hit
- 1d2026-09-172026-09-18Down+0.71%Miss
- 1m2026-09-162026-10-15Down-2.31%Hit
- 1w2026-09-162026-09-23Down+0.29%Miss
- 1d2026-09-162026-09-17Down+1.69%Miss
- 1m2026-09-152026-10-14Down-4.61%Hit
- 1w2026-09-152026-09-22Down+1.50%Miss
- 1d2026-09-152026-09-16Down-0.61%Hit
- 1m2026-09-142026-10-13Down-2.84%Hit
- 1w2026-09-142026-09-21Down+1.41%Miss
- 1d2026-09-142026-09-15Down+0.33%Miss
- 1m2026-09-112026-10-12Down-4.17%Hit
- 1w2026-09-112026-09-18Down+0.60%Miss
- 1d2026-09-112026-09-14Down-1.49%Hit
- 1m2026-09-102026-10-09Down-2.97%Hit
- 1w2026-09-102026-09-17Down+0.50%Miss
- 1d2026-09-102026-09-11Down+0.61%Miss
- 1m2026-09-092026-10-08Down-6.13%Hit
- 1w2026-09-092026-09-16Down-2.88%Hit
- 1d2026-09-092026-09-10Down-1.73%Hit
- 1m2026-09-082026-10-07Down-5.96%Hit
- 1w2026-09-082026-09-15Down-1.39%Hit
- 1d2026-09-082026-09-09Down+0.91%Miss
- 1m2026-09-042026-10-06Down-6.02%Hit
- 1w2026-09-042026-09-14Down-3.42%Hit
- 1d2026-09-042026-09-08Down-1.73%Hit
- 1m2026-09-032026-10-05Down-7.48%Hit
- 1w2026-09-032026-09-11Down-2.79%Hit
- 1d2026-09-032026-09-04Down-0.84%Hit
- 1m2026-09-022026-10-02Down-5.62%Hit
- 1w2026-09-022026-09-10Down-1.59%Hit
- 1d2026-09-022026-09-03Down+1.85%Miss
- 1m2026-09-012026-10-01Down-3.53%Hit
- 1w2026-09-012026-09-09Down+1.66%Miss
- 1d2026-09-012026-09-02Down+1.52%Miss
- 1m2026-08-312026-09-30Down-6.75%Hit
- 1w2026-08-312026-09-08Down-2.13%Hit
- 1d2026-08-312026-09-01Down-2.86%Hit
- 1m2026-08-282026-09-29Down-6.36%Hit
- 1w2026-08-282026-09-04Down-0.52%Hit
- 1d2026-08-282026-08-31Down-0.11%Hit
- 1m2026-08-272026-09-28Down-10.58%Hit
- 1w2026-08-272026-09-03Down-2.93%Hit
- 1d2026-08-272026-08-28Down-3.24%Hit
- 1m2026-08-262026-09-25Down-6.62%Hit
- 1w2026-08-262026-09-02Down-4.40%Hit
- 1d2026-08-262026-08-27Down+0.30%Miss
- 1m2026-08-252026-09-24Down-8.50%Hit
- 1w2026-08-252026-09-01Down-7.32%Hit
- 1d2026-08-252026-08-26Down-1.58%Hit
- 1m2026-08-242026-09-23Down-7.92%Hit
- 1w2026-08-242026-08-31Down-4.28%Hit
- 1d2026-08-242026-08-25Down+0.32%Miss
- 1m2026-08-212026-09-22Down-5.50%Hit
- 1w2026-08-212026-08-28Down-3.42%Hit
- 1d2026-08-212026-08-24Down+0.79%Miss
- 1m2026-08-202026-09-21Down-4.06%Hit
- 1w2026-08-202026-08-27Down+1.77%Miss
- 1d2026-08-202026-08-21Down+1.95%Miss
- 1m2026-08-192026-09-18Down-3.06%Hit
- 1w2026-08-192026-08-26Down+1.81%Miss
- 1d2026-08-192026-08-20Down+0.34%Miss
- 1m2026-08-182026-09-17DownVoid
- 1w2026-08-182026-08-25Down+7.41%Miss
- 1d2026-08-182026-08-19Down+3.84%Miss
- 1m2026-08-172026-09-16Down-3.39%Hit
- 1w2026-08-172026-08-24Down+5.23%Miss
- 1d2026-08-172026-08-18Down-1.71%Hit
- 1m2026-08-142026-09-15Down-1.83%Hit
- 1w2026-08-142026-08-21Down+5.45%Miss
- 1d2026-08-142026-08-17Down+1.00%Miss
- 1m2026-08-132026-09-14Down-1.53%Hit
- 1w2026-08-132026-08-20Down+4.09%Miss
- 1d2026-08-132026-08-14Down+0.63%Miss
- 1m2026-08-122026-09-11Down-1.52%Hit
- 1w2026-08-122026-08-19Down+2.20%Miss
- 1d2026-08-122026-08-13Down-1.47%Hit
- 1m2026-08-112026-09-10Down-1.15%Hit
- 1w2026-08-112026-08-18Down-0.60%Hit
- 1d2026-08-112026-08-12Down+0.99%Miss
- 1m2026-08-102026-09-09Down+0.20%Miss
- 1w2026-08-102026-08-17Down+0.73%Miss
- 1d2026-08-102026-08-11Down-0.39%Hit
- 1m2026-08-072026-09-08Down+0.31%Miss
- 1w2026-08-072026-08-14Down+0.76%Miss
- 1d2026-08-072026-08-10Down+1.02%Miss
- 1m2026-08-062026-09-04Down+4.39%Miss
- 1w2026-08-062026-08-13Down+2.38%Miss
- 1d2026-08-062026-08-07Down+2.26%Miss
- 1m2026-08-052026-09-03Down+5.28%Miss
- 1w2026-08-052026-08-12Down+3.92%Miss
- 1d2026-08-052026-08-06DownVoid
- 1m2026-08-042026-09-02Down+7.65%Miss
- 1w2026-08-042026-08-11Down+7.16%Miss
- 1d2026-08-042026-08-05Down+4.14%Miss
- 1m2026-08-032026-09-01Down+6.74%Miss
- 1w2026-08-032026-08-10Down+8.29%Miss
- 1d2026-08-032026-08-04Down+0.66%Miss
- 1m2026-07-312026-08-31Down+9.93%Miss
- 1w2026-07-312026-08-07Down+7.25%Miss
- 1d2026-07-312026-08-03DownVoid
- 1m2026-07-302026-08-28Down+8.41%Miss
- 1w2026-07-302026-08-06Down+3.32%Miss
- 1d2026-07-302026-07-31Down-1.49%Hit
- 1m2026-07-292026-08-27Down+13.88%Miss
- 1w2026-07-292026-08-05Down+5.00%Miss
- 1d2026-07-292026-07-30Down+1.64%Miss
- 1m2026-07-282026-08-26Down+14.06%Miss
- 1w2026-07-282026-08-04Down+1.30%Miss
- 1d2026-07-282026-07-29Down+0.46%Miss
- 1m2026-07-272026-08-25Down+14.26%Miss
- 1w2026-07-272026-08-03Down-0.78%Hit
- 1d2026-07-272026-07-28Down-1.40%Hit
- 1m2026-07-242026-08-24Down+14.73%Miss
- 1w2026-07-242026-07-31Down-0.10%Hit
- 1d2026-07-242026-07-27Down+0.73%Miss
- 1m2026-07-232026-08-21Down+13.95%Miss
- 1w2026-07-232026-07-30Down+1.52%Miss
- 1d2026-07-232026-07-24Down+0.10%Miss
- 1m2026-07-222026-08-20Down+9.53%Miss
- 1w2026-07-222026-07-29Down-2.12%Hit
- 1d2026-07-222026-07-23Down-2.00%Hit
- 1m2026-07-212026-08-19Down+10.41%Miss
- 1w2026-07-212026-07-28Down-1.45%Hit
- 1d2026-07-212026-07-22Down+1.15%Miss
- 1m2026-07-202026-08-18Down+8.42%Miss
- 1w2026-07-202026-07-27Down+1.91%Miss
- 1d2026-07-202026-07-21Down+1.96%Miss
- 1m2026-07-172026-08-17Down+10.06%Miss
- 1w2026-07-172026-07-24Down+0.95%Miss
- 1d2026-07-172026-07-20Down-0.22%Hit
- 1m2026-07-162026-08-14Down+10.01%Miss
- 1w2026-07-162026-07-23Down+1.80%Miss
- 1d2026-07-162026-07-17Down+0.95%Miss
- 1m2026-07-152026-08-13Down+7.15%Miss
- 1w2026-07-152026-07-22Down+1.82%Miss
- 1d2026-07-152026-07-16Down-1.98%Hit
- 1m2026-07-142026-08-12Down+8.81%Miss
- 1w2026-07-142026-07-21Down+0.71%Miss
- 1d2026-07-142026-07-15Down+0.05%Miss
- 1m2026-07-132026-08-11Down+9.21%Miss
- 1w2026-07-132026-07-20Down+0.13%Miss
- 1d2026-07-132026-07-14Down+1.37%Miss
- 1m2026-07-102026-08-10Down+6.77%Miss
- 1w2026-07-102026-07-17Down-2.28%Hit
- 1d2026-07-102026-07-13Down-2.62%Hit
- 1m2026-07-092026-08-07Down+5.37%Miss
- 1w2026-07-092026-07-16Down-3.50%Hit