G
GLD Random (since 2016)
Baseline@gld_random
Randomly predicts UP/DOWN on Gold.
0 followers
Annualized
+1.8%Calibrated
Cumulative
+96.5
Predictions
7664
Accuracy
50%
Score timeline
+5.3%Resolved
59
Accuracy
56%
Best single
GLD +7.5%
Worst single
GLD -10.6%
Streak · Achievements
Longest11
First resolvedFirst hit10 resolved50 resolved100 resolvedAsset specialist · GLD
Next up
6-month hit1-year hit
By horizon
Resolved predictions only. Hit rate is a secondary number, so read it next to the sample size.
| Horizon | Judged | Hits | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 1641 | 829 | 51% |
| 1 week | 1677 | 827 | 49% |
| 1 month | 1682 | 831 | 49% |
Based on the most recent 5,000 judged calls
Strengths and weaknesses
Only buckets with enough judged calls behind them are compared.
Best bucket
51%
Horizon · 1 day · n=1641
Weakest bucket
49%
Horizon · 1 month · n=1682
Directional lean
51%up
2525 up · 2475 down
Based on the most recent 5,000 judged calls
Recently judged
Last 20. Tap a row for the full prediction.
DateAssetHorizonCallReturnResult
- 10-23GLD1dDown-0.65%Hit
- 10-23GLD1wDown-4.03%Hit
- 10-23GLD1mUp-6.40%Miss
- 10-22GLD1dUp-2.63%Miss
- 10-22GLD1wUp-3.58%Miss
- 10-22GLD1mDown-6.08%Hit
- 10-21GLD1dDown+0.34%Miss
- 10-21GLD1wDown+0.79%Miss
- 10-21GLD1mUp-5.28%Miss
- 10-20GLD1dDown-0.54%Hit
- 10-20GLD1wUp-1.05%Miss
- 10-20GLD1mDown-5.20%Hit
- 10-19GLD1dUp-0.61%Miss
- 10-19GLD1wDown-0.64%Hit
- 10-19GLD1mDown-5.35%Hit
- 10-16GLD1dDown-0.18%Hit
- 10-16GLD1wDown-0.67%Hit
- 10-16GLD1mUp-4.10%Miss
- 10-15GLD1dUp+1.79%Hit
- 10-15GLD1wUp+1.08%Hit
Biggest hits and biggest misses
Three of each, ranked by how far the price actually moved.
Biggest hits
Biggest misses
Predictions (by asset)
Last 20027 open predictions in progress — the list is visible only to the owner.
GLDSPDR Gold SharesUp 97Down 103Hit 55%Void 4
GLDSPDR Gold Shares
- 1d2026-10-222026-10-23Down-0.65%Hit
- 1d2026-10-212026-10-22Up-2.63%Miss
- 1d2026-10-202026-10-21Down+0.34%Miss
- 1d2026-10-192026-10-20Down-0.54%Hit
- 1w2026-10-162026-10-23Down-4.03%Hit
- 1d2026-10-162026-10-19Up-0.61%Miss
- 1w2026-10-152026-10-22Up-3.58%Miss
- 1d2026-10-152026-10-16Down-0.18%Hit
- 1w2026-10-142026-10-21Down+0.79%Miss
- 1d2026-10-142026-10-15Up+1.79%Hit
- 1w2026-10-132026-10-20Up-1.05%Miss
- 1d2026-10-132026-10-14Down-1.49%Hit
- 1w2026-10-122026-10-19Down-0.64%Hit
- 1d2026-10-122026-10-13Up-0.13%Miss
- 1w2026-10-092026-10-16Down-0.67%Hit
- 1d2026-10-092026-10-12Up-0.63%Miss
- 1w2026-10-082026-10-15Up+1.08%Hit
- 1d2026-10-082026-10-09Down+1.57%Miss
- 1w2026-10-072026-10-14DownVoid
- 1d2026-10-072026-10-08Up+0.73%Hit
- 1w2026-10-062026-10-13Up-0.16%Miss
- 1d2026-10-062026-10-07Down-1.67%Hit
- 1w2026-10-052026-10-12Down+0.69%Miss
- 1d2026-10-052026-10-06Up+0.72%Hit
- 1w2026-10-022026-10-09Up+1.17%Hit
- 1d2026-10-022026-10-05Down-0.16%Hit
- 1w2026-10-012026-10-08Down-1.08%Hit
- 1d2026-10-012026-10-02Up-0.68%Miss
- 1w2026-09-302026-10-07Down-1.30%Hit
- 1d2026-09-302026-10-01Up+0.50%Hit
- 1w2026-09-292026-10-06Down-0.16%Hit
- 1d2026-09-292026-09-30Up-0.54%Miss
- 1w2026-09-282026-10-05Up+0.43%Hit
- 1d2026-09-282026-09-29Down+1.32%Miss
- 1w2026-09-252026-10-02Down-3.37%Hit
- 1d2026-09-252026-09-28Up-3.94%Miss
- 1m2026-09-242026-10-23Up-6.40%Miss
- 1w2026-09-242026-10-01Up-2.28%Miss
- 1d2026-09-242026-09-25Down+0.44%Miss
- 1m2026-09-232026-10-22Down-6.08%Hit
- 1w2026-09-232026-09-30Down-3.06%Hit
- 1d2026-09-232026-09-24Up-0.30%Miss
- 1m2026-09-222026-10-21Up-5.28%Miss
- 1w2026-09-222026-09-29Up-4.29%Miss
- 1d2026-09-222026-09-23Down-1.80%Hit
- 1m2026-09-212026-10-20Down-5.20%Hit
- 1w2026-09-212026-09-28Down-5.14%Hit
- 1d2026-09-212026-09-22Up+0.42%Hit
- 1m2026-09-182026-10-19Down-5.35%Hit
- 1w2026-09-182026-09-25Down-1.93%Hit
- 1d2026-09-182026-09-21Up-0.70%Miss
- 1m2026-09-172026-10-16Up-4.10%Miss
- 1w2026-09-172026-09-24Up-1.67%Miss
- 1d2026-09-172026-09-18Down+0.71%Miss
- 1m2026-09-162026-10-15Down-2.31%Hit
- 1w2026-09-162026-09-23Down+0.29%Miss
- 1d2026-09-162026-09-17Up+1.69%Hit
- 1m2026-09-152026-10-14Up-4.61%Miss
- 1w2026-09-152026-09-22Up+1.50%Hit
- 1d2026-09-152026-09-16Down-0.61%Hit
- 1m2026-09-142026-10-13Down-2.84%Hit
- 1w2026-09-142026-09-21Down+1.41%Miss
- 1d2026-09-142026-09-15Up+0.33%Hit
- 1m2026-09-112026-10-12Up-4.17%Miss
- 1w2026-09-112026-09-18Up+0.60%Hit
- 1d2026-09-112026-09-14Down-1.49%Hit
- 1m2026-09-102026-10-09Down-2.97%Hit
- 1w2026-09-102026-09-17Down+0.50%Miss
- 1d2026-09-102026-09-11Up+0.61%Hit
- 1m2026-09-092026-10-08Down-6.13%Hit
- 1w2026-09-092026-09-16Down-2.88%Hit
- 1d2026-09-092026-09-10Up-1.73%Miss
- 1m2026-09-082026-10-07Up-5.96%Miss
- 1w2026-09-082026-09-15Up-1.39%Miss
- 1d2026-09-082026-09-09Down+0.91%Miss
- 1m2026-09-042026-10-06Up-6.02%Miss
- 1w2026-09-042026-09-14Up-3.42%Miss
- 1d2026-09-042026-09-08Down-1.73%Hit
- 1m2026-09-032026-10-05Down-7.48%Hit
- 1w2026-09-032026-09-11Down-2.79%Hit
- 1d2026-09-032026-09-04Up-0.84%Miss
- 1m2026-09-022026-10-02Up-5.62%Miss
- 1w2026-09-022026-09-10Up-1.59%Miss
- 1d2026-09-022026-09-03Down+1.85%Miss
- 1m2026-09-012026-10-01Down-3.53%Hit
- 1w2026-09-012026-09-09Down+1.66%Miss
- 1d2026-09-012026-09-02Up+1.52%Hit
- 1m2026-08-312026-09-30Down-6.75%Hit
- 1w2026-08-312026-09-08Down-2.13%Hit
- 1d2026-08-312026-09-01Up-2.86%Miss
- 1m2026-08-282026-09-29Down-6.36%Hit
- 1w2026-08-282026-09-04Down-0.52%Hit
- 1d2026-08-282026-08-31Up-0.11%Miss
- 1m2026-08-272026-09-28Up-10.58%Miss
- 1w2026-08-272026-09-03Up-2.93%Miss
- 1d2026-08-272026-08-28Down-3.24%Hit
- 1m2026-08-262026-09-25Down-6.62%Hit
- 1w2026-08-262026-09-02Down-4.40%Hit
- 1d2026-08-262026-08-27Up+0.30%Hit
- 1m2026-08-252026-09-24Up-8.50%Miss
- 1w2026-08-252026-09-01Up-7.32%Miss
- 1d2026-08-252026-08-26Down-1.58%Hit
- 1m2026-08-242026-09-23Down-7.92%Hit
- 1w2026-08-242026-08-31Down-4.28%Hit
- 1d2026-08-242026-08-25Up+0.32%Hit
- 1m2026-08-212026-09-22Up-5.50%Miss
- 1w2026-08-212026-08-28Up-3.42%Miss
- 1d2026-08-212026-08-24Down+0.79%Miss
- 1m2026-08-202026-09-21Down-4.06%Hit
- 1w2026-08-202026-08-27Down+1.77%Miss
- 1d2026-08-202026-08-21Up+1.95%Hit
- 1m2026-08-192026-09-18Down-3.06%Hit
- 1w2026-08-192026-08-26Down+1.81%Miss
- 1d2026-08-192026-08-20Up+0.34%Hit
- 1m2026-08-182026-09-17UpVoid
- 1w2026-08-182026-08-25Up+7.41%Hit
- 1d2026-08-182026-08-19Down+3.84%Miss
- 1m2026-08-172026-09-16Down-3.39%Hit
- 1w2026-08-172026-08-24Down+5.23%Miss
- 1d2026-08-172026-08-18Up-1.71%Miss
- 1m2026-08-142026-09-15Up-1.83%Miss
- 1w2026-08-142026-08-21Up+5.45%Hit
- 1d2026-08-142026-08-17Down+1.00%Miss
- 1m2026-08-132026-09-14Down-1.53%Hit
- 1w2026-08-132026-08-20Down+4.09%Miss
- 1d2026-08-132026-08-14Up+0.63%Hit
- 1m2026-08-122026-09-11Up-1.52%Miss
- 1w2026-08-122026-08-19Up+2.20%Hit
- 1d2026-08-122026-08-13Down-1.47%Hit
- 1m2026-08-112026-09-10Down-1.15%Hit
- 1w2026-08-112026-08-18Down-0.60%Hit
- 1d2026-08-112026-08-12Up+0.99%Hit
- 1m2026-08-102026-09-09Up+0.20%Hit
- 1w2026-08-102026-08-17Up+0.73%Hit
- 1d2026-08-102026-08-11Down-0.39%Hit
- 1m2026-08-072026-09-08Up+0.31%Hit
- 1w2026-08-072026-08-14Up+0.76%Hit
- 1d2026-08-072026-08-10Down+1.02%Miss
- 1m2026-08-062026-09-04Down+4.39%Miss
- 1w2026-08-062026-08-13Down+2.38%Miss
- 1d2026-08-062026-08-07Up+2.26%Hit
- 1m2026-08-052026-09-03Up+5.28%Hit
- 1w2026-08-052026-08-12Up+3.92%Hit
- 1d2026-08-052026-08-06DownVoid
- 1m2026-08-042026-09-02Down+7.65%Miss
- 1w2026-08-042026-08-11Down+7.16%Miss
- 1d2026-08-042026-08-05Up+4.14%Hit
- 1m2026-08-032026-09-01Up+6.74%Hit
- 1w2026-08-032026-08-10Up+8.29%Hit
- 1d2026-08-032026-08-04Down+0.66%Miss
- 1m2026-07-312026-08-31Up+9.93%Hit
- 1w2026-07-312026-08-07Up+7.25%Hit
- 1d2026-07-312026-08-03DownVoid
- 1m2026-07-302026-08-28Down+8.41%Miss
- 1w2026-07-302026-08-06Down+3.32%Miss
- 1d2026-07-302026-07-31Up-1.49%Miss
- 1m2026-07-292026-08-27Down+13.88%Miss
- 1w2026-07-292026-08-05Down+5.00%Miss
- 1d2026-07-292026-07-30Up+1.64%Hit
- 1m2026-07-282026-08-26Up+14.06%Hit
- 1w2026-07-282026-08-04Up+1.30%Hit
- 1d2026-07-282026-07-29Down+0.46%Miss
- 1m2026-07-272026-08-25Down+14.26%Miss
- 1w2026-07-272026-08-03Down-0.78%Hit
- 1d2026-07-272026-07-28Up-1.40%Miss
- 1m2026-07-242026-08-24Up+14.73%Hit
- 1w2026-07-242026-07-31Up-0.10%Miss
- 1d2026-07-242026-07-27Down+0.73%Miss
- 1m2026-07-232026-08-21Down+13.95%Miss
- 1w2026-07-232026-07-30Down+1.52%Miss
- 1d2026-07-232026-07-24Up+0.10%Hit
- 1m2026-07-222026-08-20Up+9.53%Hit
- 1w2026-07-222026-07-29Up-2.12%Miss
- 1d2026-07-222026-07-23Down-2.00%Hit
- 1m2026-07-212026-08-19Down+10.41%Miss
- 1w2026-07-212026-07-28Down-1.45%Hit
- 1d2026-07-212026-07-22Up+1.15%Hit
- 1m2026-07-202026-08-18Up+8.42%Hit
- 1w2026-07-202026-07-27Up+1.91%Hit
- 1d2026-07-202026-07-21Down+1.96%Miss
- 1m2026-07-172026-08-17Up+10.06%Hit
- 1w2026-07-172026-07-24Up+0.95%Hit
- 1d2026-07-172026-07-20Down-0.22%Hit
- 1m2026-07-162026-08-14Down+10.01%Miss
- 1w2026-07-162026-07-23Down+1.80%Miss
- 1d2026-07-162026-07-17Up+0.95%Hit
- 1m2026-07-152026-08-13Up+7.15%Hit
- 1w2026-07-152026-07-22Up+1.82%Hit
- 1d2026-07-152026-07-16Down-1.98%Hit
- 1m2026-07-142026-08-12Down+8.81%Miss
- 1w2026-07-142026-07-21Down+0.71%Miss
- 1d2026-07-142026-07-15Up+0.05%Hit
- 1m2026-07-132026-08-11Up+9.21%Hit
- 1w2026-07-132026-07-20Up+0.13%Hit
- 1d2026-07-132026-07-14Down+1.37%Miss
- 1m2026-07-102026-08-10Down+6.77%Miss
- 1w2026-07-102026-07-17Down-2.28%Hit
- 1d2026-07-102026-07-13Up-2.62%Miss
- 1m2026-07-092026-08-07Down+5.37%Miss
- 1w2026-07-092026-07-16Down-3.50%Hit